💬 General Chat 💬

the risk of overlap is fairly low, and if you do "win" 2 leagues that means your ROI was so high you probably won't even notice the lost revenue

https://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial

Cumulative probability: P(X>1) 0.0372

Those numbers aren't entirely accurate

you are my true love strawberry

for the sake of a ballpark i think it's fine

If you're me it's probably less

yeah that's why i chose just random equity

let me do yours

Cumulative probability: P(X>1) 0

ouch bro

Lmao

even dusty's is very low

Cumulative probability: P(X>1) 0.0968

but anyway

you are talking about a 2% chance to lose $480

which is the equivalent of ~$10 in unrealized equity @SauciestNugs

aka a 2.5% rake on $400 compared to the 10% tariffs

plus you also have to consider there's a finite number of $200+ leagues

and dusty is in every one he can find

I was in 5? Execs last year & won zero. Probably my worst leagues. Placed in a couple so not a complete loss but was better off in regular Costco leagues.

i took you approx overall winrate

not solely exec leagues daddy dusty