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for the sake of a ballpark i think it's fine

If you're me it's probably less

yeah that's why i chose just random equity

Cumulative probability: P(X>1) 0

ouch bro

Lmao

even dusty's is very low

Cumulative probability: P(X>1) 0.0968

but anyway

you are talking about a 2% chance to lose $480

which is the equivalent of ~$10 in unrealized equity @SauciestNugs

aka a 2.5% rake on $400 compared to the 10% tariffs

plus you also have to consider there's a finite number of $200+ leagues

and dusty is in every one he can find

I was in 5? Execs last year & won zero. Probably my worst leagues. Placed in a couple so not a complete loss but was better off in regular Costco leagues.

i took you approx overall winrate

not solely exec leagues daddy dusty

I just wanted to brag about how shitty I did.

What if I told you I cashed in 68% of my leagues last year

but to summarize even with a higher winrate you are talking about only 2.5% unrealized gains @SauciestNugs

that's probably 2 standard deviations above average

i'd believe you @Rbarry27

Not a big math guy, but that seems irregular to me