“Video: Bucs receivers coach Kevin Garver talks about Chris Godwin and how he could be involved in the slot as well as outside this season. https://t.co/vyiFac3Gxu”
You're welcome.
I disagree with Ridley and golladay
Ridley is the one I wouldn't, but there are probably ~10 after Godwin I would take over him. The expectations are now at the point where you lose all upside because you're drafting him near his peak.
yeah I agree that it’s getting to a point where there is more risk than reward but I think he deserves to be in the spot that he is
they will be a very pass heavy offense
You say that like not everyone knows it
That's accounted for
so what is wrong with Godwin
Mahomes threw 580 passes last year so let's use that. Jameis completes 61.6% for his career = 357 completions. Mike Evans had 22.4% target share last year so Godwin will almost surely be below ~80 catches (which was about where Evans was last year). 80 would put him T-21st last year
So if he's going to be below 21st in volume most likely.... we're drafting him at A) his ceiling or B) hoping for extreme efficiency or C) hoping for random TD luck
And none of this is hard
I shouldn't have to do this math for you
but last year he finished rank 27 and now 2 of the main weapons on the offense are gone and the system this year will be better than last year so how will he be less efficient or not have way more targets
or is that only worth 5 spots
When a WR goes down, targets don't just re-allocate in the same distribution to the next guy up.
there are less weapons now so he will be more involved
is that not true
You're oversimplifying it.
Same reason Tyler Boyd isn't a WR1 when AJ Green gets hurt applies here. Or Sterling Shepard when OBJ was hurt.
You can't just fill the void with the next man up.
Evans isn’t hurt
Not referring to Evans. Referring to ASH+DJ leaving.
brown and juju were both top 10 last year there can be 2 heavily involved receivers on the same offense
Sure, when the QB throws a record number of passes and there is no WR3 and hardly a TE of consequence.