Houston Texans clinching scenarios for Week 17:
Houston will know who to root for in the INDvJAX game depending on if they win or not Saturday.
C.J. Stroud Mic’d Up vs the Raiders:
“12 down there somewhere”
Going through some of the Texans playoff simulators IF the Texans can win out & get to 12-5 they are guaranteed a top 6 seed in the AFC and the top WC spot if the Bills lose a game in that stretch.
In that case these are the most likely WC round games for Houston:
Texans @ Jaguars
Texans @ Steelers
Chargers vs Texans
Now if they don’t win out this obviously changes but this is so we have a idea of what we could see come WC round.
The Texans have made the following moves to their practice squad:
Signed:
LB Power Echols
DT Leki Fotu
S Kaevon Merriweather
Released:
CB Damon Arnette
DT Marcus Harris
S Brandon Hill
The Texans have FOUR Pro Bowlers this year:
WR Nico Collins
LB Azeez Al-Shaair
DE Will Anderson Jr.
CB Derek Stingley Jr
The Texans will enter Week 17 with a 99% chance at making the postseason via @TheAthletic Playoff Simulator.
The different ways for the Texans to clinch next week:
- Texans win
- Jaguars win
Texans Offensive Numbers since the Return of C.J. Stroud broken up by quarters (RBSDM):
1st & 3rd quarters:
-0.100 EPA/Play (27th)
36.8% Success Rate (30th)
0.078 Dropback EPA (17th)
43.9% Dropback SR (23rd)
-0.346 Rush EPA (31st)
27.1% Rush SR (31st)
2nd & 4th quarters (6-94% Garbage Time Filter):
0.171 EPA/Play (7th)
45.5% Success Rate (11th)
0.362 Dropback EPA (3rd)
48.6% Success Rate (9th)
-0.117 Rush EPA (21st)
40.8% Rush SR (18th)
With 2 games remaining in the 2025 regular season C.J. Stroud currently has career highs in:
- EPA/DB
- CPOE
- Success Rate
- P2S%
- Rush EPA
- TWP%
He’s doing exactly what the Texans need from him in year 3.
This was one of the Stroud first half misses that I thought was bizarre.
Stroud had some very real misses early but this one to me is really poor spacing.
#33 takes away essentially 2 guys + maybe even Stover on a 3rd & 3 because Nico sits right in front of the crosser.
