CAUTION: It's about to get spicy... What's your HOT TAKE? (one hot take per post, what crazy thing do you seriously believe is going to happen? Make 'em good, we're keeping tabs on this shiz!)

First off, no way he plays in 16. Second the Bengals will be this year's buc/Falcons. Literally no defense. Third, Zac Taylor is pass happy. Fourth, Gio Bernard is underrated in an RBBC and people forget he was hurt last year. He'll probably go for 500-700 yards, stealing a good portion of Mixon's workload and leaving this a gross backfield to own. I say Mixon finishes low to mid 20s and disappoints a ton of people.

Not that he's bad, he just won't get the workload to be worth a 2nd round pick.

They didn’t play him in an rbbc last year though

Still outside of 20 if he plays 14 games?

All the reports saying he prepare to embrace workhorse so you think it's smoke

Sure. If he misses more than 2 he's outside top 20

That’s ridiculous

But it’s a hot taje

Take

Super spicy

Is production last year tells me as long as he plays 12+ games he’ll be at least top 20

I just think he's riskier than people think and it's crazy to draft him in the second. That's why I'm doubling down and saying he finishes outside the top 20. Well within his range of outcomes, even if he's mostly healthy.

He’s a lot like Gordon. Would you say Gordon is likely to fall outside of the top 20?

Because Gordon played what, 12 games and placed 6 in ppr?

No, but Gordon has an amazing defense and we know the coaching philosophy

Better defense, sure, but I guess Gio could play a role like ekeler, and Mixon is injury prone just like Gordon

I trust bengals d more than people think. Their team was good at the beginning of last year

I think a healthy Mixon is a lock for top10, and the last rb#1 overall upside Guy (after Gordon)

Fair enough. I understand the argument, I just think it will go differently. Not saying Mixon is unusable this year, but I think he's low end RB2

It seems baseless, no offense. You look at what he’s done in the past two years production wise and he is a stud

But if you feel that way, it’s good to avoid him lol

Not offended. I don't think very many people share my view. There are so many Mixon believers right now though it's crazy. If I'm right there will be a lot of disappointed owners. That's why it's such a spicy take.

Fair point