Week 2 Buy-Low, Sell-High Trade Targets

While crushing your fantasy draft is an important step toward dominating your fantasy league, many of the best managers also bolster their rosters with midseason trades. If you can recognize when to buy low on a struggling player or sell high on an overachiever, you’ll have a huge advantage over your league mates. 

Each week during the 2024 NFL season, Sleeper will take a data-driven approach to identifying the best buy-low and sell-high candidates, while explaining why these players are intriguing options. Some managers may be a little leery of trading after just a one-week sample size, but for those who have the itch, here are the players you should be looking at targeting and offloading as your squad evolves.

Buy-Low Targets

TE Dalton Kincaid, Buffalo Bills

Entering this season, Kincaid was being drafted as a top-five tight end in most fantasy drafts (he was TE5 and 51.6 overall in Sleeper’s PPR ADP), but his 2024 season got off to a very disappointing start. The second-year player had just 2.1 PPR points in Sunday’s game against Arizona, finishing with just one catch (on two targets) for 11 yards. Managers who drafted Kincaid in the early rounds are likely panicking, especially with veteran tight end Dawson Knox finishing with more receiving yards (23) and the same number of targets. 

It’s important to note that Kincaid played 83.6% of snaps, and he ran a route on 83.3% of the Bills' pass plays. Meanwhile, Knox played just 57.4% of snaps and only ran a route on 46.6% of Buffalo's pass plays. Kincaid's underlying numbers are terrific for a tight end, and he's clearly the TE1 in the Bills’ offense — regardless of how he performed in Week 1. While he and Josh Allen didn't connect much against the Cardinals, Kincaid should be fine going forward. 

In fact, it's very possible that Kincaid becomes the top option in this offense since the Bills’ WRs are unproven and leave a lot to be desired. It can’t hurt to send an offer to a Kincard owner in your league and see if one awful fantasy performance is enough to generate a negotiation. Perhaps you can steal Kincaid by offering a middle-of-the-pack tight end and a WR or RB who fared well in Week 1. 

WR Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals 

The No. 4 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft made his pro debut on Sunday, but there wasn’t much to see. Unfortunately, Harrison Jr. finished with just one catch for four yards on three targets. It’s worth noting that he was wide open late in the game for what would’ve been a long touchdown, and if Kyler Murray had thrown his way, we’d be looking at the rookie’s day very differently. 

Nevertheless, Harrison Jr. was on the field for 96.7% of Arizona's passing plays, which is very promising. There’s a reason he is regarded among the best WR prospects to enter the NFL in years – and had a historically high ADP for a rookie receiver; on Sleeper he was WR8 at 15.4 overall for PPR redraft leagues – and it’s only a matter of time until he breaks out. His upside is through the roof, and he should be able to realize his full potential by the second half of the season and fantasy playoffs, which is when you need him most. 

As for the important question: is he obtainable in a Week 2 trade? Keep in mind that fantasy managers who drafted Harrison Jr. likely spent premium draft capital to get him in the first place, so they will probably be hesitant to part with him even after his awful Week 1. It will take a significant offer to land an incredible talent who is still worth it, but perhaps his debut dud makes antsy and agitated managers more open to the possibility of a quick sale.

Sell-High Options

RB J.K. Dobbins, Los Angeles Chargers

Dobbins was outstanding during the Chargers’ victory over the Raiders, finishing with 10 carries for 135 yards and a touchdown. His 22.9 PPR points were fourth-most among running backs, and his return to form after tearing his Achilles in Week 1 last year was one of the feel-good stories of Week 1 in 2024.

Dobbins has typically produced when healthy; unfortunately, that form has proven very tough for him to sustain. Prior to last year's crushing blow, Dobbins suffered a torn ACL, torn LCL, torn meniscus and torn hamstring in the 2021 preseason, which caused him to miss that entire campaign. Overall, since playing 15 games as a rookie in 2020, Dobbins has played in 10 games total. Although his Week 1 was clearly promising and encouraging, there’s always the fear that he’ll get injured once again.

On top of the injury concern, Dobbins is part of a committee in L.A. He played just 57.8% of the Chargers' snaps (and 105 of his yards came on two carries; the other eight yielded 30 total) and split the workload with Gus Edwards, who had one more carry than Dobbins but struggled to produce. Rookie Kimani Vidal was inactive in Week 1, but it’s possible that he’ll also be mixed in later in the season as well. There are a number of potential red flags, and you likely drafted Dobbins to be an RB3 or lower on your squad anyway, so look to sell while the value is high and the haul could be substantial.

WR Stefon Diggs, Houston Texans 

Diggs had six catches for 33 yards and two touchdowns (plus one carry for six yards) in his sterling Texans debut. His 21.9 PPR points were clearly impressive. His TDs did the heavy lifting, though, and he now has 34 or fewer receiving yards in six of his last nine games dating back to last season. 

Diggs struggled to separate in the second half of last season, and his production fell off a cliff. This is concerning for a wide receiver who turns 31 in two months. Even more, Diggs finished with six targets in Week 1 – fewer than both Nico Collins and Tank Dell (eight apiece). Throw in TE Dalton Schultz and RB Joe Mixon, and this Texans offense is incredibly crowded. It’s quite likely that Diggs can’t sustain this kind of production with so much target competition. 

Given his name recognition and past performance, it’s worth trying to trade Diggs now before his stock dips. If you can deal for someone like Giants rookie wideout Malik Nabers or the Eagles’ DeVonta Smith, take the opportunity to do so.

Hit the Trade Market

Trade values can change rapidly, so pounce on these opportunities while you can. Proactive dealing can often make the difference for your squad, but if one week in is too soon for you to significantly shake things up, that’s understandable as well.

Keep your eyes open in this space for guidance as the season chugs along and as more buy-low, sell-high targets come into focus each week. And for more fantasy tips, trade tools and community discussions be sure to check out and play around on the Sleeper app.